Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.525504 0.611637 0.707025 0.820440 0.951571 1.098383 1.275201
2025-02-23 0.380825 0.495061 0.635595 0.820947 1.058785 1.353554 1.746554
2025-03-02 0.299967 0.421924 0.583595 0.813085 1.130012 1.551864 2.155777
2025-03-09 0.248816 0.373276 0.548635 0.812899 1.200267 1.746506 2.574696
2025-03-16 0.203835 0.323548 0.501449 0.783899 1.219954 1.866404 2.896463
2025-03-23 0.188316 0.314124 0.510033 0.835625 1.361588 2.176111 3.531360
2025-03-30 0.160256 0.280041 0.474913 0.812907 1.382458 2.301009 3.891985
2025-04-06 0.136706 0.249488 0.440603 0.785521 1.389992 2.402229 4.221898
2025-04-13 0.117747 0.223846 0.410658 0.760618 1.396872 2.500454 4.554395
2025-04-20 0.106608 0.210535 0.400166 0.767941 1.459767 2.699465 5.082047
2025-04-27 0.101382 0.207454 0.407542 0.808323 1.586502 3.023714 5.869347
2025-05-04 0.094673 0.200479 0.406558 0.832355 1.684649 3.305030 6.606142
2025-05-11 0.086864 0.190483 0.398985 0.843611 1.761522 3.558687 7.327245
2025-05-18 0.078711 0.178653 0.386321 0.843141 1.815291 3.774309 8.000198
2025-05-25 0.070888 0.166370 0.371043 0.835033 1.851858 3.958736 8.629401
2025-06-01 0.064688 0.156784 0.360195 0.834841 1.904704 4.181332 9.361841
2025-06-08 0.056976 0.142581 0.337359 0.805076 1.889122 4.257539 9.787828
2025-06-15 0.055964 0.144156 0.350272 0.858166 2.065244 4.765693 11.219159
2025-06-22 0.049998 0.132730 0.331559 0.834849 2.062592 4.877663 11.768764
2025-06-29 0.044442 0.121524 0.311921 0.806740 2.045034 4.953401 12.242092
2025-07-06 0.039664 0.111641 0.294249 0.781180 2.030410 5.033899 12.734769
2025-07-13 0.037084 0.107268 0.289868 0.788696 2.098711 5.318277 13.751846
2025-07-20 0.036322 0.107787 0.298161 0.830145 2.258106 5.840294 15.413241